2.3ft Hs
WNW from · 298° · 8.3 s
CALIFORNIA / Monterey / Big Sur · guideSPOT / 530
Carmel Beach.
Carmel’s sand makes the shape
Left & right (reported)36.550° N / 121.930° W
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Forecast & tide at a glance
Regional wave height (Hs) · feet · Pacific time. Regional significant wave height is not the height breaking at the beach.
Regional wave height (Hs)4.1 ftOlder cached forecast Thu Oct 22, 4:00pm Pacific
Coastal wind12.9 mphSW from
NOAA tide reference1.9 ftMLLW · Monterey
READ THE INDIVIDUAL SWELLS
Swell by swell.
Offshore component height (Hs), not surf-face height. Directions are where waves come from. Component heights do not add together.
Thu Oct 22, 4:00pm Pacific
GFS · 4 components
2.2ft Hs
S from · 190° · 14.5 s
1.5ft Hs
WNW from · 296° · 10.8 s
0.0ft Hs
No energy reported for this component
MFWAM · 2 components
3.1ft Hs
WNW from · 299° · 7.1 s
0.3ft Hs
SW from · 220° · 0.6 s
Each model supplies its own partitions. Missing components remain unavailable; another model’s primary swell is not automatically the same wave system.
Coastal wind retrieved Thu Oct 22, 4:15pm. This is regional modeled wind, not a beach measurement.
Source retrievals: GFS Oct 22, 2:45pm (older cache) · ECMWF Oct 22, 3:30pm · MFWAM Oct 22, 2:45pm (older cache). Retrieval time is not the model issue time. This page combines all available cached model families; map model selections are separate.
Tide predictions: Monterey, 7 km reference; retrieved Thu Oct 22, 1:15pm. Station predictions can differ locally.
Seven-day overview
| Pacific day | Regional wave height (Hs) | Mean wind | Hours available |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Oct 22 | 4.2 ft | 10.5 mph | 14/14 |
| Fri Oct 23 | 7.2 ft | 8.2 mph | 14/14 |
| Sat Oct 24 | 5.8 ft | 5.0 mph | 14/14 |
| Sun Oct 25 | 3.9 ft | 4.2 mph | 14/14 |
| Mon Oct 26 | 3.6 ft | 4.0 mph | 14/14 |
| Tue Oct 27 | 4.3 ft | 4.9 mph | 14/14 |
| Wed Oct 28 | 4.4 ft | 6.3 mph | 14/14 |
Hourly details · next 72 hours
| Pacific time | Regional wave height (Hs) | Model range | Swell from | Wind | Tide MLLW | Models |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 4:00pm | 4.1 ft | 3.8–4.3 ft | WSW · 11.6 s | 12.9 mph SW | 1.9 ft | 3 |
| Thu 5:00pm | 4.2 ft | 3.9–4.3 ft | WSW · 11.5 s | 12.8 mph WSW | 2.5 ft | 3 |
| Thu 6:00pm | 4.3 ft | 4.1–4.7 ft | WSW · 11.3 s | 10.3 mph W | 3.2 ft | 3 |
| Thu 7:00pm | 4.5 ft | 4.3–4.9 ft | WSW · 11.0 s | 13.2 mph WNW | 3.9 ft | 3 |
| Thu 8:00pm | 4.7 ft | 4.3–5.2 ft | WSW · 10.8 s | 15.2 mph WNW | 4.3 ft | 3 |
| Thu 9:00pm | 5.0 ft | 4.5–5.7 ft | WSW · 10.5 s | 15.7 mph NW | 4.4 ft | 3 |
| Thu 10:00pm | 5.3 ft | 4.6–6.1 ft | W · 10.2 s | 15.3 mph NW | 4.0 ft | 3 |
| Thu 11:00pm | 5.6 ft | 4.7–6.6 ft | W · 10.0 s | 14.5 mph NNW | 3.3 ft | 3 |
| Fri 12:00am | 5.8 ft | 5.1–6.6 ft | W · 10.0 s | 13.2 mph NW | 2.4 ft | 3 |
| Fri 1:00am | 5.9 ft | 5.2–6.6 ft | W · 10.1 s | 12.4 mph NW | 1.6 ft | 3 |
| Fri 2:00am | 6.1 ft | 5.4–6.7 ft | W · 10.1 s | 13.7 mph NW | 1.1 ft | 3 |
| Fri 3:00am | 6.1 ft | 5.4–6.7 ft | W · 10.2 s | 10.2 mph NW | 1.0 ft | 3 |
| Fri 4:00am | 6.1 ft | 5.4–6.8 ft | WNW · 8.3 s | 7.9 mph WNW | 1.4 ft | 3 |
| Fri 5:00am | 6.2 ft | 5.5–6.8 ft | WNW · 8.4 s | 7.6 mph WNW | 2.1 ft | 3 |
| Fri 6:00am | 6.3 ft | 5.5–6.9 ft | WNW · 8.4 s | 7.8 mph NW | 3.1 ft | 3 |
| Fri 7:00am | 6.4 ft | 5.6–7.1 ft | WNW · 8.5 s | 8.6 mph NW | 4.1 ft | 3 |
| Fri 8:00am | 6.6 ft | 5.9–7.2 ft | WNW · 8.5 s | 7.0 mph NNW | 4.8 ft | 3 |
| Fri 9:00am | 6.8 ft | 6.2–7.3 ft | WNW · 8.6 s | 6.5 mph NNW | 5.1 ft | 3 |
| Fri 10:00am | 7.0 ft | 6.5–7.5 ft | WNW · 8.7 s | 5.6 mph NNW | 4.9 ft | 3 |
| Fri 11:00am | 7.2 ft | 6.8–7.6 ft | WNW · 8.9 s | 5.2 mph NNW | 4.3 ft | 3 |
| Fri 12:00pm | 7.3 ft | 7.0–7.6 ft | WNW · 9.0 s | 5.9 mph N | 3.3 ft | 3 |
| Fri 1:00pm | 7.4 ft | 7.0–7.7 ft | WNW · 9.1 s | 8.1 mph N | 2.3 ft | 3 |
| Fri 2:00pm | 7.5 ft | 7.0–7.7 ft | WNW · 9.2 s | 8.9 mph NNW | 1.5 ft | 3 |
| Fri 3:00pm | 7.5 ft | 7.0–7.7 ft | WNW · 9.3 s | 11.5 mph NNW | 1.0 ft | 3 |
| Fri 4:00pm | 7.6 ft | 7.1–7.9 ft | WNW · 9.3 s | 10.9 mph NW | 1.0 ft | 3 |
| Fri 5:00pm | 7.6 ft | 7.1–7.9 ft | WNW · 9.4 s | 9.1 mph NNW | 1.5 ft | 3 |
| Fri 6:00pm | 7.7 ft | 7.1–8.1 ft | NW · 9.4 s | 9.1 mph NNW | 2.3 ft | 3 |
| Fri 7:00pm | 7.8 ft | 7.1–8.3 ft | NW · 9.4 s | 10.7 mph NNW | 3.2 ft | 3 |
| Fri 8:00pm | 7.9 ft | 7.0–8.4 ft | NW · 9.4 s | 13.2 mph NNW | 3.9 ft | 3 |
| Fri 9:00pm | 7.8 ft | 7.1–8.3 ft | NW · 9.4 s | 12.2 mph N | 4.4 ft | 3 |
| Fri 10:00pm | 7.7 ft | 7.1–8.1 ft | NW · 9.5 s | 10.8 mph N | 4.4 ft | 3 |
| Fri 11:00pm | 7.6 ft | 7.0–7.9 ft | NW · 9.5 s | 8.0 mph N | 3.9 ft | 3 |
| Sat 12:00am | 7.4 ft | 6.8–7.8 ft | NW · 9.6 s | 5.8 mph NE | 3.2 ft | 3 |
| Sat 1:00am | 7.3 ft | 6.7–7.6 ft | NW · 9.6 s | 5.1 mph ENE | 2.3 ft | 3 |
| Sat 2:00am | 7.2 ft | 6.6–7.5 ft | NW · 9.6 s | 6.2 mph E | 1.6 ft | 3 |
| Sat 3:00am | 7.0 ft | 6.4–7.4 ft | NW · 9.7 s | 6.0 mph ENE | 1.3 ft | 3 |
| Sat 4:00am | 6.9 ft | 6.3–7.3 ft | NW · 9.7 s | 5.5 mph NE | 1.4 ft | 3 |
| Sat 5:00am | 6.8 ft | 6.2–7.2 ft | NW · 9.7 s | 6.1 mph ENE | 2.0 ft | 3 |
| Sat 6:00am | 6.7 ft | 6.1–7.1 ft | NW · 9.7 s | 7.4 mph ENE | 3.0 ft | 3 |
| Sat 7:00am | 6.5 ft | 6.0–6.9 ft | NW · 9.7 s | 6.5 mph ENE | 4.0 ft | 3 |
| Sat 8:00am | 6.4 ft | 5.8–6.8 ft | NW · 9.7 s | 6.9 mph NE | 4.9 ft | 3 |
| Sat 9:00am | 6.2 ft | 5.7–6.6 ft | NW · 9.7 s | 5.4 mph NE | 5.5 ft | 3 |
| Sat 10:00am | 6.1 ft | 5.6–6.4 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 4.5 mph NNE | 5.5 ft | 3 |
| Sat 11:00am | 5.9 ft | 5.4–6.3 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 4.0 mph W | 4.9 ft | 3 |
| Sat 12:00pm | 5.8 ft | 5.4–6.2 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 4.4 mph NW | 3.9 ft | 3 |
| Sat 1:00pm | 5.7 ft | 5.2–6.0 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 5.4 mph NW | 2.7 ft | 3 |
| Sat 2:00pm | 5.5 ft | 5.1–5.9 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 6.5 mph WNW | 1.6 ft | 3 |
| Sat 3:00pm | 5.4 ft | 5.1–5.8 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 6.1 mph WNW | 0.7 ft | 3 |
| Sat 4:00pm | 5.3 ft | 4.9–5.7 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 4.1 mph WNW | 0.4 ft | 3 |
| Sat 5:00pm | 5.2 ft | 4.8–5.6 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 4.9 mph WNW | 0.6 ft | 3 |
| Sat 6:00pm | 5.2 ft | 4.7–5.5 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 3.1 mph WNW | 1.2 ft | 3 |
| Sat 7:00pm | 5.1 ft | 4.6–5.4 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 0.9 mph ESE | 2.2 ft | 3 |
| Sat 8:00pm | 5.0 ft | 4.5–5.4 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 3.0 mph ESE | 3.2 ft | 3 |
| Sat 9:00pm | 4.9 ft | 4.5–5.3 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 3.4 mph E | 4.0 ft | 3 |
| Sat 10:00pm | 4.9 ft | 4.4–5.3 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 3.6 mph E | 4.4 ft | 3 |
| Sat 11:00pm | 4.8 ft | 4.3–5.2 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 3.6 mph E | 4.3 ft | 3 |
| Sun 12:00am | 4.7 ft | 4.3–5.2 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 3.9 mph ESE | 3.8 ft | 3 |
| Sun 1:00am | 4.6 ft | 4.2–5.1 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 3.8 mph SE | 3.0 ft | 3 |
| Sun 2:00am | 4.5 ft | 4.1–5.0 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 3.8 mph SE | 2.3 ft | 3 |
| Sun 3:00am | 4.5 ft | 4.0–4.9 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 3.2 mph S | 1.8 ft | 3 |
| Sun 4:00am | 4.4 ft | 3.9–4.8 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 3.4 mph SE | 1.6 ft | 3 |
| Sun 5:00am | 4.3 ft | 3.8–4.7 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 4.5 mph SE | 2.0 ft | 3 |
| Sun 6:00am | 4.2 ft | 3.7–4.6 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 4.5 mph ESE | 2.8 ft | 3 |
| Sun 7:00am | 4.2 ft | 3.7–4.6 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 4.9 mph SE | 3.8 ft | 3 |
| Sun 8:00am | 4.1 ft | 3.6–4.5 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 4.7 mph SE | 4.9 ft | 3 |
| Sun 9:00am | 4.1 ft | 3.5–4.5 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 2.3 mph S | 5.7 ft | 3 |
| Sun 10:00am | 4.0 ft | 3.4–4.4 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 1.7 mph SW | 5.9 ft | 3 |
| Sun 11:00am | 3.9 ft | 3.4–4.3 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 3.8 mph W | 5.6 ft | 3 |
| Sun 12:00pm | 3.8 ft | 3.3–4.3 ft | WNW · 9.7 s | 5.4 mph W | 4.7 ft | 3 |
| Sun 1:00pm | 3.8 ft | 3.3–4.3 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 5.8 mph W | 3.4 ft | 3 |
| Sun 2:00pm | 3.8 ft | 3.3–4.2 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 6.7 mph WSW | 2.0 ft | 3 |
| Sun 3:00pm | 3.7 ft | 3.2–4.1 ft | WNW · 9.6 s | 5.9 mph WSW | 0.8 ft | 3 |
| Sun 4:00pm | 3.7 ft | 3.1–4.1 ft | W · 11.0 s | 5.3 mph WSW | 0.1 ft | 3 |
Model spread is not a confidence interval. Tide and wind are context, not new corrections to surf size. Larger sets and changing hazards remain possible.
This page reads the shared cache first. Refresh requests only this spot’s existing regional samples.
Know the spot
Carmel Beach is an exposed beach break with a west-swell preference.
- Break type
- Beach break (reported)
- Wave direction
- Left & right (reported)
- Reported difficulty
- Not yet verified
- Bottom
- Sand; local rock and structures require checking
- Reported swell preference
- W (published preference; not an exclusive window)
- Reported tide preference
- mid tide on a rising tide (published preference)
Catalogue notes and review history
Statewide research draft / Monterey County. Approximate directory-area search seed: 36.55, -121.93. NOT a verified takeoff.
Statewide recovery: source-area coordinates are not owner-confirmed takeoffs. Sources may round or obscure positions. Named sections may share a reference coordinate; their distinct takeoffs are not implied. No route, access permission or current ocean condition is established. Source note: Research batch: california-coast-expansion-20260927. Public reference checked 27 September 2026. Approximate directory-area search seed: 36.55, -121.93. NOT a verified takeoff.
https://www.surf-forecast.com/breaks/Carmel-Beach/forecasts/latest/six_day
The reference was retained from the interrupted 27 September research pass; not every individual page was rechecked on 28 September. The source location is approximate, not a surveyed takeoff.
Before paddling out: Access, water quality, local hazards and current restrictions need independent checks. Directory inclusion is not permission or a safety assessment.
Access not independently verified Approximate directory-area reference. May be displaced or obscured in its source; NOT a takeoff, route, access point or survey.
Source references
Provenance is not proof that every inherited claim or current access condition has been rechecked.
THE FIELD GUIDE / Carmel Beach
Read this stretch of coast.
Carmel’s sand makes the shape
The key comparison is between an open corner and a fast wall closing across the sand. Log the precise peak before deciding how well the regional model represented the session.
Swell, wind and water level
Reported swell reference: W (published preference; not an exclusive window). Wind reference from retained sources: E. Reported tide guidance: mid tide on a rising tide (published preference). Compare each swell’s direction and period with the actual breaking line. These qualitative descriptions are not calibrated height multipliers or fixed tide cutoffs.
What to refine on your next check
Confirm the actual takeoff, local tide response and any missing peel/difficulty details.
Research and sources · 5 October 2026
A researched starting point for local refinement. Reported preferences can differ between guides; sand and rock labels inferred from break classifications are not seabed surveys. Forecast data and catalogue coordinates are separate from this editorial research.
- Surf-Forecast — Carmel Beach published spot guide
Camera references nearby
Monterey Bay outdoor cam ↗
Monterey Bay Aquarium · about 8.0 km from the catalogue pin · video-page
Outdoor bay view from the aquarium decks, with coastal water, wildlife and visibility context.
Links to third-party camera pages, not owned feeds. Proximity does not confirm the camera sees this break. Playback and image freshness have not been verified by this page.
Make the next session easier
Lineup etiquette · Paddling technique · How these forecasts work
Nearby spots to compare
PureSurfers is built by Peter Ochabski. Spot profiles combine retained sources and contributor observations; this is not a claim he has surfed or verified every entry.
COASTAL WAVE GUIDANCE
Waves at the model cells
4.27–4.27 ftSignificant wave height (Hs) before the legacy spot reduction. This is not a measured breaking-face or set range.
Nearshore and buoy trends load here. Coverage and observation times are shown separately.