WSW from · 252° · 5.4 s
Little Rincon / Mussel Shoals.
Point / reef
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Forecast & tide at a glance
Estimated surf face · feet · Pacific time. The existing PureSurfers face-estimation engine; not a measured or calibrated breaking-wave report.
READ THE INDIVIDUAL SWELLS
Swell by swell.
Offshore component height (Hs), not surf-face height. Directions are where waves come from. Component heights do not add together.
Thu Oct 22, 1:00pm Pacific
GFS · 4 components
No energy reported for this component
S from · 189° · 14.1 s
S from · 180° · 4.6 s
MFWAM · 2 components
SW from · 233° · 8.7 s
No energy reported for this component
Each model supplies its own partitions. Missing components remain unavailable; another model’s primary swell is not automatically the same wave system.
Coastal wind retrieved Thu Oct 22, 1:00pm. This is regional modeled wind, not a beach measurement.
Source retrievals: GFS Oct 22, 1:00pm · ECMWF Oct 22, 12:30pm · MFWAM Oct 22, 12:30pm. Retrieval time is not the model issue time. This page combines all available cached model families; map model selections are separate.
Tide predictions: Santa Barbara, 24 km reference; retrieved Thu Oct 22, 12:45pm. Station predictions can differ locally.
Seven-day overview
| Pacific day | Estimated surf face | Mean wind | Hours available |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Oct 22 | 0.4 ft | 5.6 mph | 14/14 |
| Fri Oct 23 | 1.2 ft | 5.4 mph | 14/14 |
| Sat Oct 24 | 1.0 ft | 5.4 mph | 14/14 |
| Sun Oct 25 | 0.5 ft | 4.2 mph | 14/14 |
| Mon Oct 26 | 0.6 ft | 4.9 mph | 14/14 |
| Tue Oct 27 | 0.9 ft | 3.6 mph | 14/14 |
| Wed Oct 28 | 0.8 ft | 3.2 mph | 14/14 |
Hourly details · next 72 hours
| Pacific time | Estimated surf face | Model range | Set proxy | Swell from | Wind | Tide MLLW | Models |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 1:00pm | 0.3 ft | 0.0–0.6 ft | 0.4 ft | SW · 9.7 s | 7.0 mph SSW | 1.7 ft | 3 |
| Thu 2:00pm | 0.3 ft | 0.0–0.6 ft | 0.4 ft | SW · 9.7 s | 7.8 mph SW | 1.5 ft | 3 |
| Thu 3:00pm | 0.4 ft | 0.2–0.6 ft | 0.7 ft | WSW · 5.4 s | 4.6 mph WSW | 1.7 ft | 3 |
| Thu 4:00pm | 0.3 ft | 0.0–0.5 ft | 0.4 ft | SW · 9.7 s | 4.5 mph WNW | 2.3 ft | 3 |
| Thu 5:00pm | 0.3 ft | 0.0–0.5 ft | 0.4 ft | SW · 9.8 s | 9.8 mph WNW | 3.1 ft | 3 |
| Thu 6:00pm | 0.4 ft | 0.2–0.6 ft | 0.7 ft | SW · 9.8 s | 7.0 mph W | 3.9 ft | 3 |
| Thu 7:00pm | 0.4 ft | 0.2–0.6 ft | 0.6 ft | SW · 9.7 s | 3.4 mph NNW | 4.5 ft | 3 |
| Thu 8:00pm | 0.4 ft | 0.2–0.6 ft | 0.6 ft | SW · 9.6 s | 4.8 mph N | 4.6 ft | 3 |
| Thu 9:00pm | 0.4 ft | 0.2–0.7 ft | 0.7 ft | SW · 9.5 s | 1.7 mph NNW | 4.4 ft | 3 |
| Thu 10:00pm | 0.5 ft | 0.2–0.8 ft | 0.7 ft | WSW · 9.2 s | 3.6 mph NW | 3.6 ft | 3 |
| Thu 11:00pm | 0.5 ft | 0.2–0.9 ft | 0.8 ft | WSW · 9.1 s | 3.8 mph N | 2.7 ft | 3 |
| Fri 12:00am | 0.5 ft | 0.2–0.9 ft | 0.8 ft | WSW · 9.0 s | 4.9 mph W | 1.8 ft | 3 |
| Fri 1:00am | 0.6 ft | 0.3–1.0 ft | 0.9 ft | WSW · 8.9 s | 2.6 mph NW | 1.1 ft | 3 |
| Fri 2:00am | 0.7 ft | 0.3–1.0 ft | 1.0 ft | WSW · 8.9 s | 2.2 mph NE | 0.8 ft | 3 |
| Fri 3:00am | 0.7 ft | 0.3–1.1 ft | 1.1 ft | WSW · 8.9 s | 5.7 mph NE | 1.1 ft | 3 |
| Fri 4:00am | 0.8 ft | 0.4–1.1 ft | 1.2 ft | WSW · 8.9 s | 6.3 mph NE | 1.8 ft | 3 |
| Fri 5:00am | 0.8 ft | 0.4–1.1 ft | 1.2 ft | WSW · 8.9 s | 5.3 mph NNE | 2.9 ft | 3 |
| Fri 6:00am | 0.8 ft | 0.5–1.2 ft | 1.3 ft | WSW · 8.9 s | 6.0 mph NNE | 4.0 ft | 3 |
| Fri 7:00am | 0.9 ft | 0.6–1.2 ft | 1.4 ft | WSW · 9.0 s | 6.6 mph NE | 4.8 ft | 3 |
| Fri 8:00am | 1.0 ft | 0.7–1.4 ft | 1.5 ft | WSW · 9.0 s | 6.9 mph NE | 5.3 ft | 3 |
| Fri 9:00am | 1.1 ft | 0.8–1.4 ft | 1.6 ft | WSW · 9.0 s | 7.2 mph ENE | 5.2 ft | 3 |
| Fri 10:00am | 1.1 ft | 0.9–1.6 ft | 1.7 ft | WSW · 9.0 s | 2.4 mph E | 4.5 ft | 3 |
| Fri 11:00am | 1.2 ft | 1.0–1.7 ft | 1.8 ft | WSW · 9.0 s | 3.3 mph S | 3.6 ft | 3 |
| Fri 12:00pm | 1.3 ft | 1.0–1.7 ft | 1.9 ft | W · 9.0 s | 4.5 mph SW | 2.4 ft | 3 |
| Fri 1:00pm | 1.1 ft | 0.6–1.7 ft | 1.7 ft | W · 8.9 s | 6.4 mph SW | 1.5 ft | 3 |
| Fri 2:00pm | 1.2 ft | 0.6–1.8 ft | 1.8 ft | W · 8.8 s | 5.6 mph SW | 0.9 ft | 3 |
| Fri 3:00pm | 1.2 ft | 0.6–1.9 ft | 1.9 ft | W · 8.4 s | 5.4 mph WSW | 0.9 ft | 3 |
| Fri 4:00pm | 1.3 ft | 0.7–2.0 ft | 2.0 ft | W · 8.0 s | 7.1 mph WSW | 1.3 ft | 3 |
| Fri 5:00pm | 1.4 ft | 0.7–2.1 ft | 2.1 ft | W · 7.7 s | 5.8 mph WSW | 2.1 ft | 3 |
| Fri 6:00pm | 1.5 ft | 0.8–2.2 ft | 2.2 ft | W · 7.6 s | 2.8 mph WSW | 3.1 ft | 3 |
| Fri 7:00pm | 1.5 ft | 0.8–2.3 ft | 2.3 ft | W · 7.7 s | 4.9 mph E | 4.0 ft | 3 |
| Fri 8:00pm | 1.8 ft | 1.4–2.3 ft | 2.7 ft | W · 7.8 s | 6.3 mph ENE | 4.5 ft | 3 |
| Fri 9:00pm | 1.8 ft | 1.4–2.3 ft | 2.7 ft | W · 7.9 s | 7.0 mph NE | 4.6 ft | 3 |
| Fri 10:00pm | 1.7 ft | 1.3–2.3 ft | 2.6 ft | W · 8.1 s | 7.9 mph NE | 4.2 ft | 3 |
| Fri 11:00pm | 1.7 ft | 1.1–2.3 ft | 2.5 ft | W · 8.3 s | 7.7 mph NNE | 3.4 ft | 3 |
| Sat 12:00am | 1.6 ft | 1.1–2.1 ft | 2.5 ft | W · 8.5 s | 6.4 mph NNE | 2.4 ft | 3 |
| Sat 1:00am | 1.6 ft | 1.0–2.1 ft | 2.4 ft | W · 8.7 s | 6.5 mph NNE | 1.6 ft | 3 |
| Sat 2:00am | 1.5 ft | 1.0–2.0 ft | 2.2 ft | W · 8.8 s | 3.9 mph N | 1.1 ft | 3 |
| Sat 3:00am | 1.4 ft | 0.9–1.9 ft | 2.2 ft | W · 9.0 s | 3.8 mph WNW | 1.1 ft | 3 |
| Sat 4:00am | 1.4 ft | 0.9–1.7 ft | 2.1 ft | W · 9.1 s | 5.1 mph N | 1.7 ft | 3 |
| Sat 5:00am | 1.3 ft | 0.8–1.6 ft | 2.0 ft | W · 9.2 s | 5.7 mph NE | 2.7 ft | 3 |
| Sat 6:00am | 1.3 ft | 0.8–1.6 ft | 1.9 ft | W · 9.3 s | 6.1 mph N | 3.8 ft | 3 |
| Sat 7:00am | 1.2 ft | 0.8–1.4 ft | 1.8 ft | WSW · 9.4 s | 5.9 mph N | 4.9 ft | 3 |
| Sat 8:00am | 1.2 ft | 0.8–1.4 ft | 1.7 ft | WSW · 9.5 s | 5.0 mph N | 5.6 ft | 3 |
| Sat 9:00am | 1.1 ft | 0.7–1.4 ft | 1.7 ft | WSW · 9.6 s | 1.4 mph NNE | 5.7 ft | 3 |
| Sat 10:00am | 1.1 ft | 0.7–1.3 ft | 1.6 ft | WSW · 9.7 s | 3.3 mph SSW | 5.2 ft | 3 |
| Sat 11:00am | 1.1 ft | 0.7–1.3 ft | 1.6 ft | WSW · 9.7 s | 4.5 mph SW | 4.2 ft | 3 |
| Sat 12:00pm | 1.0 ft | 0.6–1.3 ft | 1.5 ft | WSW · 9.8 s | 5.7 mph SSW | 2.9 ft | 3 |
| Sat 1:00pm | 1.0 ft | 0.6–1.3 ft | 1.6 ft | WSW · 9.8 s | 6.0 mph SSW | 1.7 ft | 3 |
| Sat 2:00pm | 1.0 ft | 0.7–1.3 ft | 1.5 ft | WSW · 9.7 s | 5.6 mph SW | 0.7 ft | 3 |
| Sat 3:00pm | 0.8 ft | 0.0–1.3 ft | 1.2 ft | WSW · 9.6 s | 6.4 mph WSW | 0.3 ft | 3 |
| Sat 4:00pm | 0.8 ft | 0.0–1.3 ft | 1.2 ft | WSW · 9.5 s | 7.9 mph W | 0.4 ft | 3 |
| Sat 5:00pm | 1.1 ft | 1.0–1.2 ft | 1.6 ft | WSW · 9.4 s | 7.4 mph W | 1.1 ft | 3 |
| Sat 6:00pm | 0.7 ft | 0.0–1.2 ft | 1.1 ft | WSW · 9.3 s | 6.1 mph WNW | 2.1 ft | 3 |
| Sat 7:00pm | 0.7 ft | 0.0–1.2 ft | 1.0 ft | WSW · 9.2 s | 4.7 mph NNW | 3.2 ft | 3 |
| Sat 8:00pm | 0.7 ft | 0.0–1.2 ft | 1.0 ft | WSW · 9.1 s | 3.5 mph NNW | 4.0 ft | 3 |
| Sat 9:00pm | 0.7 ft | 0.0–1.1 ft | 1.0 ft | WSW · 9.0 s | 3.5 mph N | 4.5 ft | 3 |
| Sat 10:00pm | 0.6 ft | 0.0–1.1 ft | 1.0 ft | WSW · 8.9 s | 3.7 mph NNE | 4.5 ft | 3 |
| Sat 11:00pm | 0.8 ft | 0.6–1.0 ft | 1.2 ft | WSW · 8.9 s | 3.9 mph NNE | 3.9 ft | 3 |
| Sun 12:00am | 0.6 ft | 0.0–0.9 ft | 0.9 ft | WSW · 9.0 s | 4.2 mph NNE | 3.1 ft | 3 |
| Sun 1:00am | 0.8 ft | 0.7–0.9 ft | 1.2 ft | WSW · 9.0 s | 4.6 mph NNE | 2.2 ft | 3 |
| Sun 2:00am | 0.6 ft | 0.0–0.9 ft | 0.8 ft | WSW · 9.1 s | 4.6 mph N | 1.6 ft | 3 |
| Sun 3:00am | 0.5 ft | 0.0–0.9 ft | 0.8 ft | WSW · 9.1 s | 4.6 mph N | 1.3 ft | 3 |
| Sun 4:00am | 0.5 ft | 0.0–0.8 ft | 0.8 ft | WSW · 9.2 s | 5.1 mph N | 1.7 ft | 3 |
| Sun 5:00am | 0.7 ft | 0.5–0.8 ft | 1.0 ft | WSW · 9.3 s | 5.2 mph N | 2.5 ft | 3 |
| Sun 6:00am | 0.7 ft | 0.5–0.8 ft | 1.0 ft | WSW · 9.3 s | 5.2 mph N | 3.6 ft | 3 |
| Sun 7:00am | 0.6 ft | 0.5–0.7 ft | 0.9 ft | WSW · 9.3 s | 4.9 mph N | 4.8 ft | 3 |
| Sun 8:00am | 0.5 ft | 0.3–0.7 ft | 0.8 ft | WSW · 9.3 s | 4.0 mph N | 5.7 ft | 3 |
| Sun 9:00am | 0.5 ft | 0.3–0.7 ft | 0.8 ft | WSW · 9.4 s | 0.3 mph WSW | 6.1 ft | 3 |
| Sun 10:00am | 0.5 ft | 0.3–0.7 ft | 0.8 ft | WSW · 9.5 s | 3.5 mph SSW | 5.9 ft | 3 |
| Sun 11:00am | 0.5 ft | 0.3–0.7 ft | 0.8 ft | WSW · 9.6 s | 4.2 mph S | 5.0 ft | 3 |
| Sun 12:00pm | 0.5 ft | 0.3–0.7 ft | 0.8 ft | WSW · 9.7 s | 5.2 mph SSW | 3.7 ft | 3 |
| Sun 1:00pm | 0.5 ft | 0.3–0.7 ft | 0.8 ft | WSW · 9.9 s | 5.2 mph SSW | 2.2 ft | 3 |
Model spread is not a confidence interval. Tide and wind are context, not new corrections to surf size. Larger sets and changing hazards remain possible.
This page reads the shared cache first. Refresh requests only this spot’s existing regional samples.
Know the spot
A compact, fast right that earns the Little Rincon name when west energy wraps into Mussel Shoals.
Also known as Mussel Shoals · Little Rincon.
- Break type
- Point / reef
- Wave direction
- Right
- Reported difficulty
- Advanced
- Bottom
- Rock, cobble & reef
- Reported swell preference
- W–WNW
- Reported tide preference
- Low–mid
The wave can be hollow, sectiony and much less forgiving than Rincon. It is a genuine point wave, not a beginner version of its namesake.
Before paddling out: Rocks, fast end section, pier/structure hazards, parking constraints, localism and sharks.
Public coastal access near Mussel Shoals—verify current parking Documented point-zone coordinate
Source references
- Surfline — Ventura surf and beach guide ↗
- The Surf Atlas — Ventura break guide ↗
- Surf-Forecast — Little Rincon ↗
Provenance is not proof that every inherited claim or current access condition has been rechecked.
THE FIELD GUIDE / Little Rincon / Mussel Shoals
Read this stretch of coast.
Follow the swell window
The catalogue’s reported preference for Little Rincon / Mussel Shoals is “W–WNW”. Compare that description with each component’s incoming direction and period. An offshore swell number is a reference; the local wave still depends on the actual shoreline, bottom and tide.
Check the water level
Reported tide preference: Low–mid. Follow the named NOAA station and its trend through your intended session, then inspect the entry and exit at the beach. A station prediction is not a water-level sensor at this takeoff.
Read the bottom and the lineup
Catalogue bottom: Rock, cobble & reef. Reported difficulty: Advanced. Watch several sets before choosing where to enter, keep clear of riders, and compare the actual wave with your ability and equipment.
A useful note for next time
Record the section you actually surfed, the time, incoming swell direction and period, wind and tide trend. Add what the wave did: connected sections, closeouts, drift or exposed obstacles. Comparing that observation with the same model next time is more useful than treating one colored number as the whole session.
Camera references nearby
Carpinteria Beach stills ↗
City of Carpinteria / Video Monitoring · about 9.2 km from the catalogue pin · periodic-stills
City beach images, rather than a continuous video stream.
Links to third-party camera pages, not owned feeds. Proximity does not confirm the camera sees this break. Playback and image freshness have not been verified by this page.
Make the next session easier
Lineup etiquette · Paddling technique · How these forecasts work
Nearby spots to compare
PureSurfers is built by Peter Ochabski. Spot profiles combine retained sources and contributor observations; this is not a claim he has surfed or verified every entry.
COASTAL WAVE GUIDANCE
Waves at the model cells
2.17–3.02 ftSignificant wave height (Hs) before the legacy spot reduction. This is not a measured breaking-face or set range.








