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Shelves surf forecast & spot guide

Surf, wind and tide context for Shelves, Goleta East. Read the spot profile, compare forecasts and open the same break in the atlas.

All spots / Goleta East

Open Shelves on the map ↗Best surf near me

Forecast & tide at a glance

Estimated surf face · feet · Pacific time. The existing PureSurfers face-estimation engine; not a measured or calibrated breaking-wave report.

Estimated surf face0.8 ftOlder cached forecast Fri Oct 2, 11:00am Pacific

Coastal wind4.7 mphSW from · older cache

NOAA tide reference4.5 ftMLLW · Santa Barbara

Coastal wind retrieved Fri Oct 2, 9:04am · older cache. This is regional modeled wind, not a beach measurement.

Source retrievals: GFS Oct 2, 8:15am (older cache) · ECMWF Oct 2, 8:15am (older cache) · MFWAM Oct 2, 8:15am (older cache). Retrieval time is not the model issue time. This page combines all available cached model families; map model selections are separate.

Tide predictions: Santa Barbara, 10 km reference; retrieved Fri Oct 2, 8:16am. Station predictions can differ locally.

Seven-day overview

06:00–19:00 forecast hours; daily values are not a full-day maximum.
Pacific day	Estimated surf face	Mean wind	Hours available
Fri Oct 2	0.8 ft	5.1 mph	14/14
Sat Oct 3	0.7 ft	4.0 mph	14/14
Sun Oct 4	0.5 ft	3.7 mph	14/14
Mon Oct 5	0.4 ft	4.7 mph	14/14
Tue Oct 6	0.4 ft	4.1 mph	14/14
Wed Oct 7	0.5 ft	3.6 mph	14/14
Thu Oct 8	0.6 ft	3.1 mph	14/14

Hourly details · next 72 hours

Pacific time	Estimated surf face	Model range	Set proxy	Swell from	Wind	Tide MLLW	Models
Fri 11:00am	0.8 ft	0.5–1.0 ft	1.2 ft	W · 9.4 s	4.7 mph SW	4.5 ft	3
Fri 12:00pm	0.9 ft	0.6–1.0 ft	1.3 ft	W · 8.8 s	5.4 mph SW	5.0 ft	3
Fri 1:00pm	0.8 ft	0.5–1.0 ft	1.2 ft	W · 9.5 s	5.3 mph WSW	5.5 ft	3
Fri 2:00pm	0.8 ft	0.6–0.9 ft	1.2 ft	W · 8.4 s	6.8 mph WSW	5.6 ft	3
Fri 3:00pm	0.8 ft	0.6–0.9 ft	1.2 ft	W · 8.2 s	7.0 mph WSW	5.4 ft	3
Fri 4:00pm	0.8 ft	0.6–0.9 ft	1.2 ft	W · 8.0 s	6.0 mph SW	4.9 ft	3
Fri 5:00pm	0.8 ft	0.5–0.9 ft	1.2 ft	W · 7.8 s	6.4 mph WSW	4.1 ft	3
Fri 6:00pm	0.8 ft	0.6–0.9 ft	1.2 ft	W · 7.6 s	5.2 mph W	3.1 ft	3
Fri 7:00pm	0.7 ft	0.4–0.9 ft	1.1 ft	W · 7.4 s	5.3 mph W	2.0 ft	3
Fri 8:00pm	0.8 ft	0.7–0.9 ft	1.2 ft	W · 7.3 s	4.2 mph W	1.1 ft	3
Fri 9:00pm	0.8 ft	0.7–0.9 ft	1.2 ft	W · 7.4 s	4.6 mph WSW	0.5 ft	3
Fri 10:00pm	0.8 ft	0.7–0.9 ft	1.2 ft	W · 7.5 s	3.9 mph WSW	0.2 ft	3
Fri 11:00pm	0.8 ft	0.6–0.9 ft	1.2 ft	W · 7.7 s	4.0 mph ESE	0.3 ft	3
Sat 12:00am	0.8 ft	0.5–0.9 ft	1.1 ft	W · 7.9 s	1.9 mph ESE	0.6 ft	3
Sat 1:00am	0.7 ft	0.5–0.9 ft	1.1 ft	W · 8.1 s	5.4 mph E	1.3 ft	3
Sat 2:00am	0.8 ft	0.6–0.9 ft	1.1 ft	W · 8.3 s	4.7 mph E	2.0 ft	3
Sat 3:00am	0.7 ft	0.5–0.9 ft	1.1 ft	W · 8.4 s	2.8 mph ENE	2.6 ft	3
Sat 4:00am	0.7 ft	0.5–0.8 ft	1.1 ft	W · 8.5 s	2.9 mph SE	3.1 ft	3
Sat 5:00am	0.7 ft	0.5–0.8 ft	1.1 ft	W · 9.0 s	4.8 mph E	3.4 ft	3
Sat 6:00am	0.7 ft	0.5–0.8 ft	1.1 ft	W · 9.1 s	1.9 mph ENE	3.6 ft	3
Sat 7:00am	0.7 ft	0.5–0.8 ft	1.1 ft	W · 8.5 s	1.0 mph N	3.5 ft	3
Sat 8:00am	0.7 ft	0.5–0.8 ft	1.1 ft	W · 9.1 s	0.6 mph NE	3.4 ft	3
Sat 9:00am	0.7 ft	0.5–0.8 ft	1.1 ft	W · 8.6 s	2.2 mph SW	3.4 ft	3
Sat 10:00am	0.7 ft	0.5–0.8 ft	1.0 ft	W · 9.2 s	1.5 mph WSW	3.5 ft	3
Sat 11:00am	0.7 ft	0.4–0.8 ft	1.0 ft	W · 9.2 s	4.3 mph SW	3.8 ft	3
Sat 12:00pm	0.7 ft	0.4–0.8 ft	1.0 ft	W · 9.2 s	4.5 mph SW	4.2 ft	3
Sat 1:00pm	0.6 ft	0.4–0.8 ft	1.0 ft	W · 8.1 s	5.1 mph WSW	4.6 ft	3
Sat 2:00pm	0.7 ft	0.4–0.8 ft	1.0 ft	W · 7.8 s	6.8 mph WSW	5.1 ft	3
Sat 3:00pm	0.6 ft	0.4–0.8 ft	1.0 ft	W · 7.4 s	6.5 mph WSW	5.4 ft	3
Sat 4:00pm	0.6 ft	0.4–0.8 ft	0.9 ft	W · 7.1 s	7.0 mph W	5.3 ft	3
Sat 5:00pm	0.6 ft	0.4–0.8 ft	1.0 ft	W · 6.9 s	5.6 mph WSW	5.0 ft	3
Sat 6:00pm	0.6 ft	0.4–0.8 ft	1.0 ft	W · 6.7 s	4.3 mph WSW	4.3 ft	3
Sat 7:00pm	0.6 ft	0.5–0.7 ft	0.9 ft	W · 6.6 s	4.4 mph WSW	3.4 ft	3
Sat 8:00pm	0.6 ft	0.5–0.7 ft	0.9 ft	W · 6.7 s	2.0 mph WNW	2.3 ft	3
Sat 9:00pm	0.6 ft	0.3–0.7 ft	0.8 ft	W · 6.8 s	2.0 mph NW	1.3 ft	3
Sat 10:00pm	0.5 ft	0.3–0.7 ft	0.8 ft	WSW · 7.1 s	4.3 mph WNW	0.5 ft	3
Sat 11:00pm	0.5 ft	0.3–0.7 ft	0.8 ft	WSW · 7.4 s	1.7 mph SE	0.1 ft	3
Sun 12:00am	0.6 ft	0.5–0.7 ft	0.9 ft	WSW · 7.7 s	8.3 mph E	0.0 ft	3
Sun 1:00am	0.6 ft	0.5–0.6 ft	0.9 ft	WSW · 8.0 s	4.9 mph E	0.4 ft	3
Sun 2:00am	0.6 ft	0.5–0.6 ft	0.9 ft	WSW · 8.3 s	6.0 mph ENE	1.1 ft	3
Sun 3:00am	0.6 ft	0.5–0.6 ft	0.9 ft	WSW · 8.6 s	5.4 mph ENE	1.9 ft	3
Sun 4:00am	0.6 ft	0.5–0.7 ft	0.9 ft	WSW · 9.4 s	4.9 mph NE	2.7 ft	3
Sun 5:00am	0.6 ft	0.5–0.7 ft	0.9 ft	WSW · 9.4 s	3.3 mph W	3.4 ft	3
Sun 6:00am	0.6 ft	0.5–0.7 ft	0.9 ft	WSW · 9.5 s	4.1 mph N	3.8 ft	3
Sun 7:00am	0.6 ft	0.4–0.6 ft	0.9 ft	WSW · 9.5 s	4.3 mph N	3.9 ft	3
Sun 8:00am	0.6 ft	0.4–0.6 ft	0.8 ft	WSW · 9.6 s	3.4 mph N	3.8 ft	3
Sun 9:00am	0.6 ft	0.4–0.6 ft	0.8 ft	WSW · 9.6 s	0.8 mph SW	3.6 ft	3
Sun 10:00am	0.6 ft	0.4–0.6 ft	0.8 ft	WSW · 9.6 s	3.8 mph SSW	3.3 ft	3
Sun 11:00am	0.5 ft	0.4–0.6 ft	0.8 ft	WSW · 9.7 s	3.7 mph SSW	3.2 ft	3
Sun 12:00pm	0.5 ft	0.4–0.6 ft	0.8 ft	WSW · 9.7 s	3.4 mph SSW	3.3 ft	3
Sun 1:00pm	0.5 ft	0.2–0.6 ft	0.7 ft	WSW · 9.2 s	3.7 mph SSW	3.6 ft	3
Sun 2:00pm	0.5 ft	0.2–0.6 ft	0.7 ft	WSW · 9.1 s	2.9 mph SSW	4.2 ft	3
Sun 3:00pm	0.5 ft	0.2–0.6 ft	0.7 ft	WSW · 8.9 s	2.2 mph S	4.7 ft	3
Sun 4:00pm	0.4 ft	0.2–0.6 ft	0.7 ft	WSW · 8.5 s	2.1 mph SW	5.2 ft	3
Sun 5:00pm	0.4 ft	0.2–0.6 ft	0.7 ft	WSW · 8.2 s	4.5 mph W	5.4 ft	3
Sun 6:00pm	0.5 ft	0.4–0.6 ft	0.8 ft	WSW · 8.0 s	7.2 mph WNW	5.2 ft	3
Sun 7:00pm	0.4 ft	0.2–0.6 ft	0.7 ft	WSW · 7.9 s	5.6 mph NW	4.6 ft	3
Sun 8:00pm	0.5 ft	0.4–0.6 ft	0.7 ft	WSW · 7.9 s	3.9 mph NNW	3.6 ft	3
Sun 9:00pm	0.5 ft	0.3–0.6 ft	0.7 ft	WSW · 8.0 s	3.5 mph NW	2.5 ft	3
Sun 10:00pm	0.5 ft	0.4–0.6 ft	0.7 ft	WSW · 8.2 s	2.7 mph NW	1.4 ft	3
Sun 11:00pm	0.4 ft	0.2–0.5 ft	0.6 ft	WSW · 8.4 s	3.1 mph NNW	0.5 ft	3
Mon 12:00am	0.4 ft	0.2–0.5 ft	0.6 ft	WSW · 8.6 s	2.7 mph N	-0.1 ft	3
Mon 1:00am	0.4 ft	0.2–0.5 ft	0.6 ft	WSW · 8.7 s	2.5 mph N	-0.1 ft	3
Mon 2:00am	0.4 ft	0.1–0.5 ft	0.5 ft	WSW · 8.8 s	3.2 mph N	0.3 ft	3
Mon 3:00am	0.4 ft	0.2–0.5 ft	0.6 ft	WSW · 8.9 s	3.6 mph N	1.2 ft	3
Mon 4:00am	0.4 ft	0.2–0.5 ft	0.6 ft	WSW · 9.0 s	3.5 mph NNW	2.2 ft	3
Mon 5:00am	0.4 ft	0.2–0.5 ft	0.6 ft	WSW · 9.0 s	3.3 mph NNW	3.1 ft	3
Mon 6:00am	0.4 ft	0.2–0.5 ft	0.6 ft	WSW · 9.0 s	3.2 mph NNW	3.9 ft	3
Mon 7:00am	0.4 ft	0.2–0.5 ft	0.6 ft	WSW · 9.0 s	3.7 mph NNW	4.3 ft	3
Mon 8:00am	0.4 ft	0.2–0.5 ft	0.6 ft	WSW · 9.0 s	3.4 mph NNW	4.3 ft	3
Mon 9:00am	0.4 ft	0.2–0.5 ft	0.6 ft	WSW · 9.1 s	2.9 mph W	3.9 ft	3
Mon 10:00am	0.4 ft	0.1–0.5 ft	0.5 ft	WSW · 9.1 s	4.4 mph SW	3.4 ft	3
Mon 11:00am	0.4 ft	0.1–0.5 ft	0.5 ft	WSW · 9.1 s	4.9 mph SW	2.9 ft	3

Model spread is not a confidence interval. Tide and wind are context, not new corrections to surf size. Larger sets and changing hazards remain possible.

This page reads the shared cache first. Refresh requests only this spot’s existing regional samples.

Know the spot

A rare, powerful reef that breaks close to shore over shallow shelves.

Break type: Shallow reef
Wave direction: Left & right (reported)
Reported difficulty: Intermediate+
Bottom: Rock
Reported swell preference: W–NW
Reported tide preference: High

Satellite view is useful here; the reef geometry is more informative than a fixed pin.

Before paddling out: Very shallow reef, injury risk, long walk, tide-sensitive shoreline.

More Mesa public bluff trails Documented lineup

Source references

Provenance is not proof that every inherited claim or current access condition has been rechecked.

Camera references nearby

Campus Point ↗

The Surfers View · about 4.6 km from the catalogue pin · video-page

Publicly listed Campus Point surf view.

Santa Barbara Waterfront ↗

City of Santa Barbara · about 9.7 km from the catalogue pin · video-page

Waterfront and harbor panorama; not a measurement of surf at Leadbetter.

West Beach ↗

The Milo · about 9.8 km from the catalogue pin · video-page

Hotel-hosted West Beach view for visibility and coastal conditions.

Links to third-party camera pages, not owned feeds. Proximity does not confirm the camera sees this break. Playback and image freshness have not been verified by this page.

Make the next session easier

Lineup etiquette · Paddling technique · How these forecasts work

Nearby spots to compare

PureSurfers is built by Peter Ochabski. Spot profiles combine retained sources and contributor observations; this is not a claim he has surfed or verified every entry.