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Monarch Bay surf forecast & spot guide

Surf, wind and tide context for Monarch Bay, Dana Point. Read the spot profile, compare forecasts and open the same break in the atlas.

Open Monarch Bay on the map ↗Best surf near me

Forecast & tide at a glance

Estimated surf face · feet · Pacific time. The existing PureSurfers face-estimation engine; not a measured or calibrated breaking-wave report.

Estimated surf face1.4 ftOlder cached forecast Fri Oct 2, 11:00am Pacific
Coastal wind6.7 mphWSW from · older cache
NOAA tide reference—MLLW · not loaded

Coastal wind retrieved Fri Oct 2, 9:04am · older cache. This is regional modeled wind, not a beach measurement.

Source retrievals: GFS Oct 2, 9:04am (older cache) · ECMWF Oct 2, 9:04am (older cache) · MFWAM Oct 2, 9:04am (older cache). Retrieval time is not the model issue time. This page combines all available cached model families; map model selections are separate.

Seven-day overview

06:00–19:00 forecast hours; daily values are not a full-day maximum.
Pacific dayEstimated surf faceMean windHours available
Fri Oct 21.4 ft7.0 mph14/14
Sat Oct 31.2 ft9.1 mph14/14
Sun Oct 41.1 ft5.9 mph14/14
Mon Oct 51.0 ft6.2 mph14/14
Tue Oct 61.0 ft5.7 mph14/14
Wed Oct 71.4 ft5.2 mph14/14
Thu Oct 81.9 ft4.1 mph14/14
Hourly details · next 72 hours
Pacific timeEstimated surf faceModel rangeSet proxySwell fromWindTide MLLWModels
Fri 11:00am1.4 ft0.0–2.2 ft2.1 ftSW · 11.5 s6.7 mph WSW—3
Fri 12:00pm1.4 ft0.0–2.2 ft2.1 ftSW · 11.6 s7.2 mph W—3
Fri 1:00pm1.4 ft0.0–2.1 ft2.1 ftSW · 11.7 s8.9 mph W—3
Fri 2:00pm1.4 ft0.0–2.1 ft2.0 ftSW · 11.7 s10.1 mph WNW—3
Fri 3:00pm1.4 ft0.0–2.2 ft2.0 ftSW · 11.3 s10.5 mph WNW—3
Fri 4:00pm1.3 ft0.0–2.1 ft2.0 ftSW · 10.9 s10.9 mph WNW—3
Fri 5:00pm1.3 ft0.0–2.1 ft2.0 ftSW · 10.5 s9.7 mph WNW—3
Fri 6:00pm1.3 ft0.0–2.1 ft2.0 ftSW · 10.2 s9.8 mph NW—3
Fri 7:00pm1.3 ft0.0–2.1 ft1.9 ftSW · 10.0 s6.8 mph NW—3
Fri 8:00pm1.3 ft0.0–2.1 ft1.9 ftSW · 10.0 s6.3 mph NW—3
Fri 9:00pm1.3 ft0.0–2.1 ft1.9 ftSW · 10.1 s6.1 mph N—3
Fri 10:00pm1.3 ft0.0–2.1 ft2.0 ftSW · 10.4 s6.2 mph NNW—3
Fri 11:00pm1.3 ft0.0–2.1 ft2.0 ftSW · 10.6 s7.0 mph NNW—3
Sat 12:00am1.3 ft0.0–2.1 ft1.9 ftSW · 10.9 s6.5 mph NNW—3
Sat 1:00am1.3 ft0.0–2.1 ft2.0 ftSW · 11.1 s6.4 mph NNW—3
Sat 2:00am1.3 ft0.0–2.0 ft1.9 ftSW · 11.3 s3.6 mph NW—3
Sat 3:00am1.3 ft0.0–2.0 ft1.9 ftSW · 11.4 s5.0 mph NW—3
Sat 4:00am1.3 ft0.0–2.0 ft1.9 ftSSW · 11.5 s5.0 mph NNE—3
Sat 5:00am1.2 ft0.0–2.0 ft1.9 ftSSW · 11.6 s4.7 mph N—3
Sat 6:00am1.2 ft0.0–2.0 ft1.9 ftSSW · 11.7 s5.6 mph NE—3
Sat 7:00am1.2 ft0.0–2.0 ft1.9 ftSSW · 11.7 s7.5 mph NNE—3
Sat 8:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.9 ftSSW · 11.8 s9.5 mph NE—3
Sat 9:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.9 ftSSW · 12.0 s10.7 mph E—3
Sat 10:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.9 ftSSW · 12.1 s13.2 mph E—3
Sat 11:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.9 ftSSW · 12.2 s13.9 mph E—3
Sat 12:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.4 s6.9 mph E—3
Sat 1:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.5 s8.5 mph W—3
Sat 2:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.5 s7.8 mph W—3
Sat 3:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.4 s10.0 mph WNW—3
Sat 4:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.2 s10.0 mph WNW—3
Sat 5:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.1 s9.5 mph NW—3
Sat 6:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.0 s8.4 mph NW—3
Sat 7:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.0 s6.5 mph NW—3
Sat 8:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.0 s4.8 mph NW—3
Sat 9:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.0 s3.4 mph WNW—3
Sat 10:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.0 s4.4 mph NW—3
Sat 11:00pm1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.1 s4.1 mph N—3
Sun 12:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.2 s7.1 mph N—3
Sun 1:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.3 s5.6 mph N—3
Sun 2:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.4 s5.5 mph NNE—3
Sun 3:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.8 ftSSW · 12.4 s6.6 mph E—3
Sun 4:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.8 ftSW · 11.5 s4.8 mph E—3
Sun 5:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.8 ftSW · 11.6 s4.4 mph ENE—3
Sun 6:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.8 ftSW · 11.7 s5.1 mph ENE—3
Sun 7:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.8 ftSW · 11.8 s5.3 mph ENE—3
Sun 8:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.8 ftSW · 11.8 s4.6 mph ENE—3
Sun 9:00am1.2 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.8 ftSW · 11.9 s2.2 mph ENE—3
Sun 10:00am1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.7 ftSSW · 11.9 s2.0 mph SSE—3
Sun 11:00am1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.7 ftSSW · 11.9 s5.3 mph SSE—3
Sun 12:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.7 ftSW · 11.8 s6.8 mph SW—3
Sun 1:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.7 ftSW · 11.6 s10.8 mph WSW—3
Sun 2:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.7 ftSW · 11.5 s9.7 mph W—3
Sun 3:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.7 ftSW · 11.5 s7.9 mph WSW—3
Sun 4:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.7 ftSW · 11.5 s7.5 mph W—3
Sun 5:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.7 ftSW · 11.5 s7.0 mph W—3
Sun 6:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.7 ftSW · 11.2 s5.6 mph W—3
Sun 7:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.7 ftSW · 10.9 s2.5 mph W—3
Sun 8:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.7 ftSW · 10.7 s1.9 mph NW—3
Sun 9:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.7 ftSW · 10.7 s3.3 mph NNW—3
Sun 10:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.7 ftSW · 10.8 s3.8 mph N—3
Sun 11:00pm1.1 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.7 ftSW · 10.9 s3.5 mph NE—3
Mon 12:00am1.1 ft0.0–1.9 ft1.7 ftSW · 11.1 s3.5 mph NE—3
Mon 1:00am1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.7 ftSSW · 11.3 s3.8 mph NE—3
Mon 2:00am1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.7 ftSSW · 11.5 s4.0 mph NE—3
Mon 3:00am1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.6 ftSSW · 11.6 s4.8 mph NE—3
Mon 4:00am1.1 ft0.0–1.8 ft1.6 ftSSW · 11.7 s4.9 mph NE—3
Mon 5:00am1.0 ft0.0–1.7 ft1.5 ftSSW · 11.8 s5.1 mph NE—3
Mon 6:00am1.1 ft0.0–1.7 ft1.6 ftSSW · 11.8 s5.2 mph NE—3
Mon 7:00am1.0 ft0.0–1.7 ft1.5 ftSSW · 11.9 s5.3 mph NE—3
Mon 8:00am1.0 ft0.0–1.7 ft1.5 ftSSW · 11.9 s4.8 mph ENE—3
Mon 9:00am1.0 ft0.0–1.7 ft1.5 ftSSW · 11.9 s2.9 mph E—3
Mon 10:00am1.0 ft0.0–1.7 ft1.5 ftSSW · 11.9 s5.5 mph ESE—3
Mon 11:00am1.0 ft0.0–1.7 ft1.5 ftSSW · 11.9 s5.9 mph SSE—3

Model spread is not a confidence interval. Tide and wind are context, not new corrections to surf size. Larger sets and changing hazards remain possible.

This page reads the shared cache first. Refresh requests only this spot’s existing regional samples.

Know the spot

A private-adjacent reef-and-point corner north of Salt Creek.

Break type
Reef / point
Wave direction
Right
Reported difficulty
Advanced
Bottom
Rock / reef
Reported swell preference
S–W
Reported tide preference
Low–mid

Included for atlas completeness, but kept coarse. Access is the controlling constraint; do not treat this as a route guide.

Before paddling out: Private property, rocks and isolation relative to nearby public spots.

Permission or lawful water access only Approximate imported surf-zone pin — verify locally

Source references

Provenance is not proof that every inherited claim or current access condition has been rechecked.

Camera references nearby

Salt Creek ↗

The Surfers View · about 0.5 km from the catalogue pin · video-page

Publicly listed Salt Creek beach and surf camera.

Monarch Bay Beach Club ↗

HDOnTap / Monarch Bay Beach Club · about 0.8 km from the catalogue pin · video-page

Resort-hosted Monarch Bay beach and ocean view.

Dana Point Harbor overlook ↗

HDOnTap / Laguna Cliffs · about 3.9 km from the catalogue pin · video-page

Harbor and ocean panorama from Laguna Cliffs.

Links to third-party camera pages, not owned feeds. Proximity does not confirm the camera sees this break. Playback and image freshness have not been verified by this page.

Make the next session easier

Lineup etiquette · Paddling technique · How these forecasts work

Nearby spots to compare

PureSurfers is built by Peter Ochabski. Spot profiles combine retained sources and contributor observations; this is not a claim he has surfed or verified every entry.